Georgia football is one of the favorites to win the national championship this season, and many Bulldogs fans who are watching those odds are also watching the week-to-week point spreads as well. With that in mind, DawgNation is proud to share a brand new show — in partnership with R.S. Andrews — called Go With the Flow. It offers a chance to hear from some of your favorite DawgNation personalities as they share their thoughts on UGA, and the other big games each week around college football, and play along with R.S. Andrews’ Dari Payrow as he decides which picks he likes best.
3 things to know before betting UGA as 49-point favorite vs. Murray State
Point spreads for FBS vs. FCS opponents aren’t always easy to find. However, UGA has been listed as a 49-point favorite vs. Murray State for most of the week. It’s a big number for the Bulldogs to cover. Can they do it? Here are three things to know before you place that bet.
UGA is just 2-6 against the spread as a favorite of 40 or more points dating back to 2012.
The last time UGA covered as a favorite of 40 or more points was Nov. 22, 2014, when it beat Charleston Southern 55-0 as a 43-point favorite. Since then, the Bulldogs have failed to cover in their last four such instances, including an 0-3 mark for UGA coach Kirby Smart in those games.
UGA has scored 49 or more points four times in Smart’s four seasons at UGA.
Covering a significant point spread obviously requires scoring enough points to match the odds. UGA has scored 40 or more points 14 times during Smart’s tenure, but scored 49 or more just four times. However, the Bulldogs scored 66 points in their last home non-conference game last November vs. UMass.
UGA is 2-3 against the spread in September non-conference home games under Smart.
A losing record against the spread when playing early-season non-conference home games might suggest the Bulldogs get off to sluggish starts to begin seasons, but that hasn’t necessarily been the case. UGA beat conference foe, Mississippi State, 31-3 as a 2.5-point favorite in September of 2017, and UGA has covered the spread in four of its last five road games played in September or earlier — including last Saturday’s win at Vanderbilt (Trend data courtesy of OddsShark).
Best of luck with your picks this week. For more information on UGA, and the top games of the weekend, check out DawgNation’s sports betting show, Go With the Flow, linked below.
